This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes is the outsider here at 19%, while No trades at 82%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 19%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends market resolve?
Mark 3 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$1.3M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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