Israel · Mamdani

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

$356.8K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
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August 31
$2.1K Volume
3%
September 30
$114.7K Volume
94%
December 31
$86.1K Volume
96%
Resolved 1
July 31
$153.9K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Netanyahu visit New York City by?
December 31 dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, September 30, trades at just 93%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Will Netanyahu visit New York City by?
With 96% implied for December 31, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Will Netanyahu visit New York City by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Netanyahu visit New York City by?
Total turnover stands at $356.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Netanyahu visit New York City by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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