This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nous Research officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Nous Research will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nous Research (https://x.com/NousResearch), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
September 30, 2026
$1.2K Volume
4%
December 31, 2026
$876 Volume
11%
March 31, 2027
$125 Volume
16%
June 30, 2027
$1.5K Volume
18%
September 30, 2027
$4K Volume
17%
December 31, 2027
$3.7K Volume
22%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
The field is wide open: December 31, 2027 tops it at just 21%, with June 30, 2027 close behind at 16%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
Right now the market's best guess is December 31, 2027 at 21% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Nous Research launch a token by ___ market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2028 (494 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?
$11.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Nous Research launch a token by ___ on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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