This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 2%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Traders have put $149.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Nicolás Maduro85%YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez10%YesNo
December 3117%YesNo
January 311%YesNo
December 3118%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez91%YesNo
María Corina Machado3%YesNo
1.2m67%YesNo
1.3m17%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
January 311%YesNo
