This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
$607.6K Volume
17%
Resolved 2
March 31
$421.3K Volume
No
June 30
$1.1M Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by?
Yes is the outsider here at 17%, while No trades at 84%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by?
$2.1M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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