This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Yes
$5.7M Volume
1%
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $90.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
Similar Markets
August 2299%YesNoAugust 2599%YesNo
December 3173%YesNo
October 3152%YesNo
August 311%
August 151%
March 31, 202765%YesNo
December 31, 202652%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
November 307%YesNo
