This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 2%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Traders have put $5.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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