This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
August 31
$2.5K Volume
40%
September 30
$553 Volume
67%
October 31
$651 Volume
76%
Resolved 1
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31
$8.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon anyone by?
The money is on October 31 at 73%; September 30 follows at 66%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Will Trump pardon anyone by?
Traders lean toward October 31, pricing it at 73%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Will Trump pardon anyone by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Nov 2026 (69 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Trump pardon anyone by?
Traders have put $267 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Trump pardon anyone by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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