This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 8%, while No trades at 92%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Yoon out of custody before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$50 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Yoon out of custody before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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