選挙予測市場

選挙市場はポリマーケットの中核です：米国大統領、政党予備選、議会選挙、そして主要な民主主義の投票。2024年の米国選挙市場は数十億の取引量を記録しました。

価格は世論調査、政党の資金データ、経済指標、報告を組み合わせており、すべてが一つの価格に凝縮されています。アナリストや意見主導の投資家にとって豊かな取引の場です。

80件のアクティブなマーケット
並び替え
ブラジル大統領選挙ブラジル大統領選挙
ルイーズ・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルバルイーズ・イナシオ・ルーラ・ダ・シルバ63%はいいいえ
フラビオ・ボルソナロフラビオ・ボルソナロ33%はいいいえ
$1.3億 取引高 04/10
2028年大統領選挙勝者2028年大統領選挙勝者
JD VanceJD Vance23%はいいいえ
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%はいいいえ
$6.9億 取引高 07/11
次のフランス大統領選挙次のフランス大統領選挙
マリーヌ・ルペンマリーヌ・ルペン32%はいいいえ
エドゥアール・フィリップエドゥアール・フィリップ25%はいいいえ
$1.2億 取引高 30/04
2028年民主党大統領候補2028年民主党大統領候補
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%はいいいえ
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%はいいいえ
$12.7億 取引高 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%はいいいえ
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%はいいいえ
$401.5万 取引高 13/09
2028年共和党大統領候補指名2028年共和党大統領候補指名
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%はいいいえ
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%はいいいえ
$6.9億 取引高 07/11
ロシア議会選挙で最も議席を増やす政党は？ロシア議会選挙で最も議席を増やす政党は？
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%はいいいえ
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%はいいいえ
$2,173.7万 取引高 20/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%はいいいえ
September 3089%はいいいえ
$2,626.5万 取引高 31/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%はいいいえ
R Senate, D House39%はいいいえ
$1,039.4万 取引高 03/11
次の選挙後、イスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのか？次の選挙後、イスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのか？
ガディ・エイゼンコットガディ・エイゼンコット58%はいいいえ
ベンジャミン・ネタニヤフベンジャミン・ネタニヤフ27%はいいいえ
$3,296.8万 取引高 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$12.8万 取引高 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%はいいいえ
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%はいいいえ
$41.9万 取引高 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%はいいいえ
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%はいいいえ
$136.9万 取引高 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%はいいいえ
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%はいいいえ
$523.4万 取引高 04/10
2026年に下院を制する政党は？2026年に下院を制する政党は？
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 03/11
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%はいいいえ
340–35422%はいいいえ
$21.1万 取引高 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%はいいいえ
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%はいいいえ
$87.1万 取引高 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%はいいいえ
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%はいいいえ
$14.7万 取引高 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%はいいいえ
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%はいいいえ
$58.6万 取引高 03/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%はいいいえ
September 3093%はいいいえ
$35.7万 取引高 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%はいいいえ
Brett Smiley47%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%はいいいえ
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%はいいいえ
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%はいいいえ
$6.4万 取引高
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%はいいいえ
Lorenzo Pazolini25%はいいいえ
$3万 取引高 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%はいいいえ
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%はいいいえ
$326.7万 取引高 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%はいいいえ
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%はいいいえ
$3.9万 取引高 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%はいいいえ
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%はいいいえ
$11.4万 取引高 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%はいいいえ
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%はいいいえ
$1.7万 取引高 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%はいいいえ
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%はいいいえ
$2.3万 取引高 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%はいいいえ
121-12423%はいいいえ
$1.1万 取引高 12/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%はいいいえ
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%はいいいえ
$2.9万 取引高 01/09
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%はいいいえ
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior38%はいいいえ
$1.5万 取引高 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%はいいいえ
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%はいいいえ
$30.9万 取引高 17/04
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$2.9万 取引高 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%はいいいえ
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%はいいいえ
$48.6万 取引高 03/11
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%はいいいえ
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%はいいいえ
$2.3万 取引高 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%はいいいえ
7-9%22%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%はいいいえ
CDUCDU26%はいいいえ
$332.9万 取引高 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%はいいいえ
Julio CesarJulio Cesar29%はいいいえ
$1.7万 取引高 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%はいいいえ
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
確率
はい いいえ
$16.7万 取引高 20/09
Netanyahuは...までに退任する？Netanyahuは...までに退任する？
December 3149%はいいいえ
May 311%はいいいえ
$5,959 取引高 01/01
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%はいいいえ
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%はいいいえ
$1.5万 取引高 18/11
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%はいいいえ
GaguimGaguim32%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 04/10
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%はいいいえ
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%はいいいえ
$18.3万 取引高 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes66%はいいいえ
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta31%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil74%はいいいえ
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé25%はいいいえ
$4万 取引高 31/08
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$6.7万 取引高 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes40%はいいいえ
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%はいいいえ
$1.9万 取引高 04/10
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%45%はいいいえ
5-7%40%はいいいえ
$8,027 取引高 06/09
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$4万 取引高 03/11
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez37%はいいいえ
Duber Alberto Fernández SilvaDuber Alberto Fernández Silva25%はいいいえ
$6,156 取引高 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS48%はいいいえ
SV26%はいいいえ
$19.7万 取引高 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%はいいいえ
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei27%はいいいえ
$1.1万 取引高 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%はいいいえ
Jim PriestJim Priest6%はいいいえ
$11.8万 取引高 本日終了
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%はいいいえ
59-6129%はいいいえ
$7,225 取引高 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%はいいいえ
Javier Antonio Onofre CcamaJavier Antonio Onofre Ccama15%はいいいえ
$7,996 取引高 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%はいいいえ
Democratic Party5%はいいいえ
$4.2万 取引高 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%はいいいえ
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick5%はいいいえ
$5,358 取引高 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$3.8万 取引高 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%はいいいえ
PLQPLQ17%はいいいえ
$80.7万 取引高 05/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%はいいいえ
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon47%はいいいえ
$9.2万 取引高 30/04
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%はいいいえ
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas31%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 06/06
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
確率
はい いいえ
$26万 取引高 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
確率
はい いいえ
$37.2万 取引高 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%はいいいえ
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%はいいいえ
$21.1万 取引高 11/10
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro41%はいいいえ
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni38%はいいいえ
$1万 取引高 04/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour71%はいいいえ
Olivier Faure61%はいいいえ
$7.1万 取引高 23/04
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%はいいいえ
4914%はいいいえ
$286.3万 取引高 03/11
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%はいいいえ
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%はいいいえ
$1.5万 取引高 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%はいいいえ
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%はいいいえ
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 残り2日
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%はいいいえ
1220%はいいいえ
$1万 取引高 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%はいいいえ
ADIADI30%はいいいえ
$8,909 取引高 27/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%はいいいえ
Ralph NormanRalph Norman2%はいいいえ
$2万 取引高 残り2日
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%はいいいえ
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%はいいいえ
$2.8万 取引高 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%はいいいえ
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 13/09
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%はいいいえ
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos58%はいいいえ
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party2%はいいいえ
$6.1万 取引高 03/11
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