🤖 予測市場：AI

100 アクティブなマーケット

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI2%はいいいえ
$17.8万 取引高 残り7日
Anthropicの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？Anthropicの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？
↑$1.25T98%はいいいえ
↑$1.5T94%はいいいえ
$6.5万 取引高 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%はいいいえ
September 202614%はいいいえ
$7.4万 取引高 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%はいいいえ
October 3158%はいいいえ
$26.1万 取引高 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai4%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 残り7日
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%はいいいえ
September 3081%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 01/10
Anthropic IPO 終値時価総額Anthropic IPO 終値時価総額
$1.75–$2.0T19%はいいいえ
$2.0–$2.25T17%はいいいえ
$2万 取引高 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai28%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%はいいいえ
CATLCATL19%はいいいえ
$18.7万 取引高 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%はいいいえ
claude-opus-5-max3%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 本日終了
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI5%はいいいえ
$17.8万 取引高 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%はいいいえ
November 30, 202660%はいいいえ
$155.4万 取引高 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%はいいいえ
October 3182%はいいいえ
$7,738 取引高 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%はいいいえ
12-1545%はいいいえ
$7,616 取引高 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot30%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%はいいいえ
September 21–September 276%はいいいえ
$1.3万 取引高 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$4.2万 取引高 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%はいいいえ
xAIxAI12%はいいいえ
$17.8万 取引高 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%はいいいえ
claude-opus-5-max45%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot43%はいいいえ
$6,308 取引高 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%はいいいえ
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%はいいいえ
$6,337 取引高 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%はいいいえ
September 3078%はいいいえ
$32.5万 取引高 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%はいいいえ
September 3039%はいいいえ
$4.8万 取引高 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot14%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%はいいいえ
AlibabaAlibaba11%はいいいえ
$5,495 取引高 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%はいいいえ
5-78%はいいいえ
$4,348 取引高 31/08
Anthropic IPO 終値時価総額 (中位レンジ)Anthropic IPO 終値時価総額 (中位レンジ)
1.8T+77%はいいいえ
1.5–1.8T14%はいいいえ
$2万 取引高 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%はいいいえ
$1.75–$2.00T33%はいいいえ
$1.5万 取引高 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI6%はいいいえ
$17.8万 取引高 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$31.9万 取引高 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%はいいいえ
August 272%はいいいえ
$6,209 取引高 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%はいいいえ
55%+48%はいいいえ
$4.6万 取引高 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%はいいいえ
September 305%はいいいえ
$6,209 取引高 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI35%はいいいえ
$3,527 取引高 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%はいいいえ
MetaMeta23%はいいいえ
$3,358 取引高 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
確率
はい いいえ
$18.7万 取引高 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI14%はいいいえ
$6,211 取引高 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$12.8万 取引高 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%はいいいえ
55%+45%はいいいえ
$4.4万 取引高 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%はいいいえ
50%+56%はいいいえ
$4万 取引高 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%はいいいえ
claude-opus-5-max33%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%はいいいえ
$5.50-$6.0020%はいいいえ
$4,468 取引高 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%はいいいえ
GoogleGoogle17%はいいいえ
$3,697 取引高 31/10
2027年までにどの企業が買収されるか？2027年までにどの企業が買収されるか？
PayPalPayPal46%はいいいえ
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%はいいいえ
$1,818万 取引高 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI20%はいいいえ
$6,211 取引高 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI2%はいいいえ
$6,211 取引高 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%はいいいえ
$0.75-$1.0024%はいいいえ
$1,713 取引高 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%はいいいえ
$5.00-$5.5021%はいいいえ
$2,976 取引高 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%はいいいえ
AlibabaAlibaba9%はいいいえ
$2,522 取引高 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%はいいいえ
40%+78%はいいいえ
$4.1万 取引高 31/12
Perplexityの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？Perplexityの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？
↑$25B62%はいいいえ
↑$22.5B60%はいいいえ
$1,641 取引高 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%はいいいえ
AlibabaAlibaba20%はいいいえ
$3,697 取引高 30/09
OpenAIの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？OpenAIの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？
↑$900B90%はいいいえ
↑$1.0T70%はいいいえ
$1,434 取引高 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%はいいいえ
MetaMeta10%はいいいえ
$1,906 取引高 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%はいいいえ
50%+61%はいいいえ
$2万 取引高 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot28%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%はいいいえ
$6.00-$6.5026%はいいいえ
$4,468 取引高 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%はいいいえ
$4.00-$4.5027%はいいいえ
$2,976 取引高 31/10
OpenAIは___までにIPO？OpenAIは___までにIPO？
December 31, 202616%はいいいえ
September 30, 20261%はいいいえ
$287.5万 取引高 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%はいいいえ
September 1585%はいいいえ
$2,439 取引高 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,232 取引高 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%はいいいえ
$0.50-$0.5530%はいいいえ
$2,224 取引高 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%はいいいえ
ByteDanceByteDance5%はいいいえ
$1,626 取引高 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%はいいいえ
$3.00+24%はいいいえ
$2,124 取引高 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%はいいいえ
$0.45-$0.5032%はいいいえ
$2,224 取引高 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%はいいいえ
September 3038%はいいいえ
$112.3万 取引高 01/11
Databricksの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？Databricksの評価額は12月31日までに__に達する？
↑$200B87%はいいいえ
↑$225B78%はいいいえ
$1,374 取引高 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI4%はいいいえ
$799 取引高 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%はいいいえ
MetaMeta1%はいいいえ
$6,337 取引高 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%はいいいえ
$5.50-$6.0022%はいいいえ
$4,468 取引高 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%はいいいえ
1490+71%はいいいえ
$11万 取引高
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%はいいいえ
60%+27%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI33%はいいいえ
$731 取引高 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 取引高 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%はいいいえ
$3.00-$3.2526%はいいいえ
$2,124 取引高 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot26%はいいいえ
$1,199 取引高 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot24%はいいいえ
$1,638 取引高 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%はいいいえ
45%+89%はいいいえ
$566 取引高 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%はいいいえ
$ANT9%はいいいえ
$7.7万 取引高 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai29%はいいいえ
$1,638 取引高 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%はいいいえ
1490+28%はいいいえ
$6万 取引高
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai30%はいいいえ
$1,638 取引高 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,528 取引高 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI10%はいいいえ
$2,522 取引高 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%はいいいえ
AnthropicAnthropic33%はいいいえ
$552 取引高 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%はいいいえ
AlibabaAlibaba33%はいいいえ
$5,495 取引高 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI23%はいいいえ
$680 取引高 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%はいいいえ
ByteDanceByteDance7%はいいいえ
$1,626 取引高 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%はいいいえ
GoogleGoogle30%はいいいえ
$3,358 取引高 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%はいいいえ
1505+54%はいいいえ
$431 取引高 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%はいいいえ
OpenAIOpenAI14%はいいいえ
$3,527 取引高 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot10%はいいいえ
$6,308 取引高 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot9%はいいいえ
$1,199 取引高 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%はいいいえ
MetaMeta15%はいいいえ
$1,906 取引高 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%はいいいえ
GoogleGoogle5%はいいいえ
$757 取引高 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%はいいいえ
$2.75-$3.0019%はいいいえ
$2,124 取引高 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%はいいいえ
AnthropicAnthropic3%はいいいえ
$2,522 取引高 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%はいいいえ
San Diego, CA93%はいいいえ
$385 取引高 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%はいいいえ
$6.00-$6.5025%はいいいえ
$4,468 取引高 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%はいいいえ
GoogleGoogle41%はいいいえ
$3,697 取引高 31/08
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