🌍 予測市場：中東

80 アクティブなマーケット

Middle East prediction markets — Israel, Iran, Gaza and more

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%はいいいえ
August 25August 2599%はいいいえ
$250.5万 取引高 30/09
米国とイランの最終核合意まで...?米国とイランの最終核合意まで...?
12月31日12%はいいいえ
November 307%はいいいえ
$1,618.8万 取引高 01/01
アメリカは2027年までにイランに侵攻するか？ アメリカは2027年までにイランに侵攻するか？
17%
確率
はい いいえ
$8.5万 取引高 31/12
次の選挙後、イスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのか？次の選挙後、イスラエルの次期首相は誰になるのか？
ガディ・エイゼンコットガディ・エイゼンコット58%はいいいえ
ベンジャミン・ネタニヤフベンジャミン・ネタニヤフ27%はいいいえ
$3,296.8万 取引高 31/12
Will Iran target Jordan by...?Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 3039%はいいいえ
September 1518%はいいいえ
$4.1万 取引高 30/09
イラン政権は2027年までに崩壊する？ イラン政権は2027年までに崩壊する？
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$7.9万 取引高 31/12
イランの指導者は2026年末に交代する？イランの指導者は2026年末に交代する？
モフタバ・ハメネイ82%はいいいえ
国家元首なし4%はいいいえ
$3,878.4万 取引高 31/12
イランは12月31日までにウラン濃縮停止に合意する？ イランは12月31日までにウラン濃縮停止に合意する？
14%
確率
はい いいえ
$2.2万 取引高 31/12
USD x Iranian rials End of August?USD x Iranian rials End of August?
2.0-2.1M46%はいいいえ
2.1-2.2M34%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 31/08
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3129%はいいいえ
October 3113%はいいいえ
$684.6万 取引高 01/01
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 3094%はいいいえ
August 3177%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 30/09
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 311%
September 303%
$10.8万 取引高 01/10
Netanyahuは...までに退任する？Netanyahuは...までに退任する？
December 3149%はいいいえ
May 311%はいいいえ
$5,963 取引高 01/01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 3033%はいいいえ
September 1516%はいいいえ
$5,048 取引高 30/09
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 2478%はいいいえ
August 1776%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
サウジアラビアサウジアラビア10%はいいいえ
VenezuelaVenezuela10%はいいいえ
$4,234 取引高 31/12
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 225%
August 3130%
$3,545 取引高 31/08
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3128%はいいいえ
September 307%はいいいえ
$2,313 取引高 01/01
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
確率
はい いいえ
$1,704 取引高 31/12
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
477%はいいいえ
513%はいいいえ
$1,652 取引高 31/12
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by August 31?
↑ 2.0M97%はいいいえ
↑ 2.1M58%はいいいえ
$1,578 取引高 31/08
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 311%
$103.9万 取引高 01/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
2%
確率
はい いいえ
$1,748 取引高 31/08
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
August 3140%はいいいえ
September 3035%はいいいえ
$1,170 取引高 30/09
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 3050%はいいいえ
September 1520%はいいいえ
$1,052 取引高 30/09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
September 1551%はいいいえ
September 3051%はいいいえ
$957 取引高 30/09
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
21%
確率
はい いいえ
$3万 取引高 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%はいいいえ
June 263%はいいいえ
$157.4万 取引高 01/09
Will Iran target Syria by...?Will Iran target Syria by...?
September 157%はいいいえ
September 307%はいいいえ
$674 取引高 30/09
Will Iran target Iraq by...?Will Iran target Iraq by...?
September 3040%はいいいえ
September 1534%はいいいえ
$647 取引高 30/09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
確率
はい いいえ
$1,748 取引高 31/12
イランは9月30日までにウラン濃縮停止に合意する？ イランは9月30日までにウラン濃縮停止に合意する？
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$2.2万 取引高 30/09
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
September 3032%はいいいえ
September 1520%はいいいえ
$379 取引高 30/09
Will Iran target Qatar by...?Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30September 3023%はいいいえ
September 15September 1511%はいいいえ
$356 取引高 30/09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 314%はいいいえ
March 311%はいいいえ
$294 取引高 01/01
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$34.5万 取引高 31/12
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$16.1万 取引高 31/12
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
3%
確率
はい いいえ
$17.4万 取引高 30/09
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3118%はいいいえ
August 311%はいいいえ
$173.7万 取引高 01/01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$146 取引高 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland16%はいいいえ
Lebanon9%はいいいえ
$143 取引高 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%
確率
はい いいえ
$73 取引高 31/12
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 202550%はいいいえ
December 31, 202629%はいいいえ
$45.6万 取引高 01/01
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
October 3150%はいいいえ
December 3150%はいいいえ
$288.4万 取引高 01/01
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3111%はいいいえ
August 311%はいいいえ
$116万 取引高
イランは...までに濃縮ウランの在庫を引き渡すことに同意する...?イランは...までに濃縮ウランの在庫を引き渡すことに同意する...?
12月31日8%はいいいえ
10月31日3%はいいいえ
$1,777.1万 取引高 01/01
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$55 取引高 31/12
Will Israel annex any territory by...?Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%はいいいえ
June 30, 2026June 30, 20261%はいいいえ
$53.3万 取引高 01/01
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
August 3111%はいいいえ
May 312%はいいいえ
$34.2万 取引高 31/08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$19.4万 取引高 31/12
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$10.1万 取引高 31/12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
October 3150%はいいいえ
December 3150%はいいいえ
$406.3万 取引高 01/01
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
June 301%はいいいえ
August 311%はいいいえ
$13.7万 取引高 31/08
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
August 313%はいいいえ
July 312%はいいいえ
$10.1万 取引高 31/08
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$15.8万 取引高 31/12
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9%
確率
はい いいえ
$15 取引高 31/12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$13 取引高 31/12
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$212.3万 取引高 01/01
Masoud Pezeshkianは...までに退任する？Masoud Pezeshkianは...までに退任する？
December 3115%はいいいえ
April 301%はいいいえ
$86.6万 取引高 01/01
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
August 315%はいいいえ
July 311%はいいいえ
$11 取引高 31/08
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
August 3110%はいいいえ
May 312%はいいいえ
$16.6万 取引高 31/08
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Iran nuclear test before 2027?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$6 取引高 31/12
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
18%
確率
はい いいえ
$6 取引高 31/12
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5%
確率
はい いいえ
$63.2万 取引高 31/12
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$11.1万 取引高 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 315%はいいいえ
June 301%はいいいえ
$2,182.5万 取引高 01/01
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$1.2万 取引高 01/01
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 316%
June 301%
$76.7万 取引高 01/01
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 312%はいいいえ
June 151%はいいいえ
$18.5万 取引高 01/01
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$18.6万 取引高 31/12
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
June 301%
December 314%
$11.8万 取引高 01/01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
10%
確率
はい いいえ
$23.6万 取引高 31/12
Will Iran target Egypt by...?Will Iran target Egypt by...?
September 304%はいいいえ
September 152%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 30/09
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18%
確率
はい いいえ
$5.4万 取引高 31/12
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
93%
確率
はい いいえ
$16.7万 取引高 31/12
Will Iran target Oman by...?Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 306%はいいいえ
September 154%はいいいえ
$2.8万 取引高 30/09
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
7%
確率
はい いいえ
$3.2万 取引高 31/12
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 3150%はいいいえ
December 31, 20268%はいいいえ
$94万 取引高 01/01
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$14.2万 取引高 01/01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$349.7万 取引高 01/01
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