선거 예측 시장

선거 시장은 폴리마켓의 핵심입니다: 미국 대통령, 정당 예비선거, 의회 선거 및 주요 민주주의의 투표. 2024년 미국 선거 시장은 수십억 달러의 거래량을 기록했습니다.

가격은 여론 조사, 정당 재정 데이터, 경제 지표 및 보고서를 혼합하여 하나의 가격으로 정제됩니다. 분석가와 의견 기반 투자자 모두에게 풍부한 거래 환경을 제공합니다.

80개 활성 마켓
정렬
브라질 대통령 선거브라질 대통령 선거
루이즈 이나시우 룰라 다 실바루이즈 이나시우 룰라 다 실바63%예아니오
플라비우 보우소나루플라비우 보우소나루33%예아니오
$1.3억 거래량 04/10
2028년 대통령 선거 승자2028년 대통령 선거 승자
JD VanceJD Vance23%예아니오
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%예아니오
$6.9억 거래량 07/11
다음 프랑스 대통령 선거다음 프랑스 대통령 선거
마린 르 펜마린 르 펜32%예아니오
에두아르 필리프에두아르 필리프25%예아니오
$1.2억 거래량 30/04
2028년 민주당 대통령 후보2028년 민주당 대통령 후보
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez23%예아니오
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom15%예아니오
$12.7억 거래량 07/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson90%예아니오
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson10%예아니오
$401.5만 거래량 13/09
2028 공화당 대통령 후보2028 공화당 대통령 후보
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance47%예아니오
Marco RubioMarco Rubio20%예아니오
$6.9억 거래량 07/11
러시아 의회 선거에서 가장 많은 의석을 얻을 정당은?러시아 의회 선거에서 가장 많은 의석을 얻을 정당은?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)71%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)23%예아니오
$2,173.7만 거래량 20/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%예아니오
September 3089%예아니오
$2,626.5만 거래량 31/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep48%예아니오
R Senate, D House39%예아니오
$1,039.4만 거래량 03/11
다음 선거 후 이스라엘의 다음 총리는 누구인가?다음 선거 후 이스라엘의 다음 총리는 누구인가?
가디 아이젠코트가디 아이젠코트58%예아니오
베냐민 네타냐후베냐민 네타냐후27%예아니오
$3,296.8만 거래량 31/12
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$12.8만 거래량 20/09
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerRio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Eduardo PaesEduardo Paes94%예아니오
Douglas RuasDouglas Ruas5%예아니오
$41.9만 거래량 05/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%예아니오
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)1%예아니오
$136.9만 거래량 13/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro86%예아니오
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%예아니오
$523.4만 거래량 04/10
2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%예아니오
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%예아니오
$2.1만 거래량 03/11
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
325–33942%예아니오
340–35422%예아니오
$21.1만 거래량 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)51%예아니오
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)49%예아니오
$87.1만 거래량 03/11
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings28%예아니오
Anna KellyAnna Kelly16%예아니오
$14.7만 거래량 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Abdul El-Sayed (D)62%예아니오
Mike Rogers (R)Mike Rogers (R)39%예아니오
$58.6만 거래량 03/11
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%예아니오
September 3093%예아니오
$35.7만 거래량 01/01
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Providence, Rhode Island Mayor?
David Morales52%예아니오
Brett Smiley47%예아니오
$2.2만 거래량 09/09
San Luis Potosí Governor Election WinnerSan Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González SilvaRuth González Silva52%예아니오
Gerardo Sánchez ZumayaGerardo Sánchez Zumaya10%예아니오
$2.1만 거래량 06/06
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Edin FortoEdin Forto21%예아니오
Nermin NikšićNermin Nikšić13%예아니오
$6.4만 거래량
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço73%예아니오
Lorenzo Pazolini25%예아니오
$3만 거래량 05/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)99%예아니오
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%예아니오
$326.7만 거래량 20/09
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary WinnerRhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena FoulkesHelena Foulkes94%예아니오
Dan McKeeDan McKee5%예아니오
$3.9만 거래량 08/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%예아니오
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%예아니오
$11.4만 거래량 16/01
Amazonas Senate Election: 1st PlaceAmazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Eduardo BragaEduardo Braga72%예아니오
Capitão Alberto NetoCapitão Alberto Neto15%예아니오
$1.7만 거래량 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo40%예아니오
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina38%예아니오
$2.3만 거래량 04/10
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?
125-12830%예아니오
121-12423%예아니오
$1.1만 거래량 12/10
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerMA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Patrick RoathPatrick Roath51%예아니오
Stephen LynchStephen Lynch50%예아니오
$2.9만 거래량 01/09
Tocantins Governor Election WinnerTocantins Governor Election Winner
Professora DorinhaProfessora Dorinha59%예아니오
Vicentinho JúniorVicentinho Júnior38%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 04/10
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%예아니오
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud93%예아니오
$30.9만 거래량 17/04
IN-07 House Election WinnerIN-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party5%예아니오
$2.9만 거래량 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
David Crowley (D)David Crowley (D)81%예아니오
Tom Tiffany (R)Tom Tiffany (R)20%예아니오
$48.6만 거래량 03/11
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Guilherme DerriteGuilherme Derrite34%예아니오
Marina SilvaMarina Silva32%예아니오
$2.3만 거래량 04/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Vote Share?
5-7%67%예아니오
7-9%22%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 13/09
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke57%예아니오
CDUCDU26%예아니오
$332.9만 거래량 20/09
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd PlacePiauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira39%예아니오
Julio CesarJulio Cesar29%예아니오
$1.7만 거래량 04/10
Cusco Mayoral Election WinnerCusco Mayoral Election Winner
Albert Aníbal Arenas YabarAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar30%예아니오
William Peña FarfánWilliam Peña Farfán23%예아니오
$1.8만 거래량 04/10
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
58%
확률
예 아니오
$16.7만 거래량 20/09
Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 3149%예아니오
May 311%예아니오
$5,959 거래량 01/01
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Princess FakuPrincess Faku59%예아니오
Yomelela TyaliYomelela Tyali7%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 18/11
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd PlaceTocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Alexandre GuimarãesAlexandre Guimarães34%예아니오
GaguimGaguim32%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 04/10
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)54%예아니오
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)48%예아니오
$18.3만 거래량 03/11
Mato Grosso Governor Election WinnerMato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Wellington FagundesWellington Fagundes66%예아니오
Otaviano PivettaOtaviano Pivetta31%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 04/10
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election WinnerChicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner
Daniel GobeilDaniel Gobeil74%예아니오
Caroline DubéCaroline Dubé25%예아니오
$4만 거래량 31/08
AL-07 House Election WinnerAL-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party5%예아니오
$6.7만 거래량 03/11
Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd PlacePernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Marília ArraesMarília Arraes40%예아니오
Mendonça FilhoMendonça Filho34%예아니오
$1.9만 거래량 04/10
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
3-5%45%예아니오
5-7%40%예아니오
$8,027 거래량 06/09
VT-AL House Election WinnerVT-AL House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party5%예아니오
$4만 거래량 03/11
Chiclayo Mayoral Election WinnerChiclayo Mayoral Election Winner
Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez SánchezEdwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez37%예아니오
Duber Alberto Fernández SilvaDuber Alberto Fernández Silva25%예아니오
$6,156 거래량 04/10
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS48%예아니오
SV26%예아니오
$19.7만 거래량 03/10
Federal District Senate Election: 1st PlaceFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
Michelle BolsonaroMichelle Bolsonaro63%예아니오
Leila do VôleiLeila do Vôlei27%예아니오
$1.1만 거래량 04/10
Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary WinnerOklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” ThomasN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas94%예아니오
Jim PriestJim Priest6%예아니오
$11.8만 거래량 오늘 마감
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?
62-6430%예아니오
59-6129%예아니오
$7,225 거래량 12/10
Arequipa Mayoral Election WinnerArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar LlosaRicardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa18%예아니오
Javier Antonio Onofre CcamaJavier Antonio Onofre Ccama15%예아니오
$7,996 거래량 04/10
TX-01 House Election WinnerTX-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%예아니오
Democratic Party5%예아니오
$4.2만 거래량 03/11
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election WinnerLagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Obafemi HamzatObafemi Hamzat87%예아니오
Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo PatrickRhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick5%예아니오
$5,358 거래량 06/02
NC-04 House Election WinnerNC-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party5%예아니오
$3.8만 거래량 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ72%예아니오
PLQPLQ17%예아니오
$80.7만 거래량 05/10
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen84%예아니오
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon47%예아니오
$9.2만 거래량 30/04
Sonora Governor Election WinnerSonora Governor Election Winner
Lorenia Valles SampedroLorenia Valles Sampedro37%예아니오
Luis Donaldo Colosio RiojasLuis Donaldo Colosio Riojas31%예아니오
$2.1만 거래량 06/06
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
확률
예 아니오
$26만 거래량 31/12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
36%
확률
예 아니오
$37.2만 거래량 06/09
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%예아니오
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%예아니오
$21.1만 거래량 11/10
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st PlaceSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos BolsonaroCarlos Bolsonaro41%예아니오
Carol de ToniCarol de Toni38%예아니오
$1만 거래량 04/10
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Éric Zemmour71%예아니오
Olivier Faure61%예아니오
$7.1만 거래량 23/04
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%예아니오
4914%예아니오
$286.3만 거래량 03/11
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd PlaceEspírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sergio MeneguelliSergio Meneguelli41%예아니오
Fabiano ContaratoFabiano Contarato32%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 04/10
Rondônia Senate Election: 2nd PlaceRondônia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Sílvia CristinaSílvia Cristina35%예아니오
Dr. Fernando MáximoDr. Fernando Máximo28%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 04/10
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Charleston County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%예아니오
Ralph NormanRalph Norman22%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 2일 남음
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1024%예아니오
1220%예아니오
$1만 거래량 03/11
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election WinnerSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTPMLSTP68%예아니오
ADIADI30%예아니오
$8,909 거래량 27/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Runoff: Horry County Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone97%예아니오
Ralph NormanRalph Norman2%예아니오
$2만 거래량 2일 남음
Piauí Senate Election: 1st PlacePiauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Ciro NogueiraCiro Nogueira37%예아니오
Marcelo CastroMarcelo Castro34%예아니오
$2.8만 거래량 04/10
Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?Next Regional Board Chair of Östergötland?
Mattias OttossonMattias Ottosson63%예아니오
Marie MorellMarie Morell21%예아니오
$1.6만 거래량 13/09
Goiás Senate Election: 2nd PlaceGoiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Gustavo GayerGustavo Gayer55%예아니오
Vanderlan CardosoVanderlan Cardoso20%예아니오
$2.4만 거래량 04/10
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st PlaceMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
Marília CamposMarília Campos58%예아니오
Carlos VianaCarlos Viana27%예아니오
$1.6만 거래량 04/10
VA-03 House Election WinnerVA-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party2%예아니오
$6.1만 거래량 03/11
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왜 선거 시장이 정확한가요?

사람들이 자신의 의견에 돈을 걸어야 하므로 '게임에 피부를 걸어야' 합니다. 이는 저품질의 잡음을 걸러냅니다. 거래량이 클수록 가격이 더 신뢰할 수 있습니다.

현재 어떤 선거 시장이 활성화되어 있나요?

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유동성(호가창 깊이), 역사적 변동성 및 결정 날짜를 확인하세요. 유동성이 낮은 시장은 비효율적인 가격 책정에 취약합니다.

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가상 돈으로 예측 시장 거래하기. 실제 가격, 제로 리스크. 리더보드에서 경쟁하세요.
$1K
가상 자금
500+
마켓
$0
실제 리스크
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