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AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI2%ТакНі
$178,1 тис. Обсяг Залишилось 7 днів
Чи досягне оцінка Anthropic __ до 31 грудня?Чи досягне оцінка Anthropic __ до 31 грудня?
↑$1.25T98%ТакНі
↑$1.5T94%ТакНі
$65,1 тис. Обсяг 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%ТакНі
September 202614%ТакНі
$73,7 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%ТакНі
October 3158%ТакНі
$260,9 тис. Обсяг 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%ТакНі
Z.aiZ.ai4%ТакНі
$21,7 тис. Обсяг Залишилось 7 днів
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%ТакНі
September 3081%ТакНі
$15,6 тис. Обсяг 01/10
Ринкова капіталізація Anthropic на закритті IPOРинкова капіталізація Anthropic на закритті IPO
$1.75–$2.0T19%ТакНі
$2.0–$2.25T17%ТакНі
$19,8 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%ТакНі
Z.aiZ.ai28%ТакНі
$23,6 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%ТакНі
CATLCATL19%ТакНі
$186,9 тис. Обсяг 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%ТакНі
claude-opus-5-max3%ТакНі
$18,5 тис. Обсяг Закінчується сьогодні
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI5%ТакНі
$178,1 тис. Обсяг 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%ТакНі
November 30, 202660%ТакНі
$1,6 млн Обсяг 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%ТакНі
October 3182%ТакНі
$7,7 тис. Обсяг 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%ТакНі
12-1545%ТакНі
$7,6 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot30%ТакНі
$23,6 тис. Обсяг 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%ТакНі
September 21–September 276%ТакНі
$12,8 тис. Обсяг 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 тис. Обсяг 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%ТакНі
xAIxAI12%ТакНі
$178,1 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%ТакНі
claude-opus-5-max45%ТакНі
$18,5 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot43%ТакНі
$6,3 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%ТакНі
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%ТакНі
$6,3 тис. Обсяг 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%ТакНі
September 3078%ТакНі
$325,1 тис. Обсяг 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%ТакНі
September 3039%ТакНі
$48,3 тис. Обсяг 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot14%ТакНі
$21,7 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%ТакНі
AlibabaAlibaba11%ТакНі
$5,5 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%ТакНі
5-78%ТакНі
$4,3 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Ринкова капіталізація Anthropic на закритті IPO (середні діапазони)Ринкова капіталізація Anthropic на закритті IPO (середні діапазони)
1.8T+77%ТакНі
1.5–1.8T14%ТакНі
$19,8 тис. Обсяг 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%ТакНі
$1.75–$2.00T33%ТакНі
$14,6 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI6%ТакНі
$178,1 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318,9 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%ТакНі
August 272%ТакНі
$6,2 тис. Обсяг 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%ТакНі
55%+48%ТакНі
$45,6 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%ТакНі
September 305%ТакНі
$6,2 тис. Обсяг 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI35%ТакНі
$3,5 тис. Обсяг 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%ТакНі
MetaMeta23%ТакНі
$3,4 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
ймовірність
Так Ні
$187 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI14%ТакНі
$6,2 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 тис. Обсяг 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%ТакНі
55%+45%ТакНі
$43,7 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%ТакНі
50%+56%ТакНі
$40,2 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%ТакНі
claude-opus-5-max33%ТакНі
$18,5 тис. Обсяг 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%ТакНі
$5.50-$6.0020%ТакНі
$4,5 тис. Обсяг 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%ТакНі
GoogleGoogle17%ТакНі
$3,7 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Які компанії будуть придбані до 2027 року?Які компанії будуть придбані до 2027 року?
PayPalPayPal46%ТакНі
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%ТакНі
$18,2 млн Обсяг 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI20%ТакНі
$6,2 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI2%ТакНі
$6,2 тис. Обсяг 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%ТакНі
$0.75-$1.0024%ТакНі
$1,7 тис. Обсяг 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%ТакНі
$5.00-$5.5021%ТакНі
$3 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%ТакНі
AlibabaAlibaba9%ТакНі
$2,5 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%ТакНі
40%+78%ТакНі
$41,1 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Чи досягне оцінка Perplexity __ до 31 грудня?Чи досягне оцінка Perplexity __ до 31 грудня?
↑$25B62%ТакНі
↑$22.5B60%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%ТакНі
AlibabaAlibaba20%ТакНі
$3,7 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Чи досягне оцінка OpenAI __ до 31 грудня?Чи досягне оцінка OpenAI __ до 31 грудня?
↑$900B90%ТакНі
↑$1.0T70%ТакНі
$1,4 тис. Обсяг 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%ТакНі
MetaMeta10%ТакНі
$1,9 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%ТакНі
50%+61%ТакНі
$20,1 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot28%ТакНі
$23,6 тис. Обсяг 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%ТакНі
$6.00-$6.5026%ТакНі
$4,5 тис. Обсяг 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%ТакНі
$4.00-$4.5027%ТакНі
$3 тис. Обсяг 31/10
IPO OpenAI до ___?IPO OpenAI до ___?
December 31, 202616%ТакНі
September 30, 20261%ТакНі
$2,9 млн Обсяг 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%ТакНі
September 1585%ТакНі
$2,4 тис. Обсяг 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,2 тис. Обсяг 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%ТакНі
$0.50-$0.5530%ТакНі
$2,2 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%ТакНі
ByteDanceByteDance5%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%ТакНі
$3.00+24%ТакНі
$2,1 тис. Обсяг 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%ТакНі
$0.45-$0.5032%ТакНі
$2,2 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%ТакНі
September 3038%ТакНі
$1,1 млн Обсяг 01/11
Чи досягне оцінка Databricks __ до 31 грудня?Чи досягне оцінка Databricks __ до 31 грудня?
↑$200B87%ТакНі
↑$225B78%ТакНі
$1,4 тис. Обсяг 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI4%ТакНі
$799 Обсяг 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%ТакНі
MetaMeta1%ТакНі
$6,3 тис. Обсяг 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%ТакНі
$5.50-$6.0022%ТакНі
$4,5 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%ТакНі
1490+71%ТакНі
$109,9 тис. Обсяг
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%ТакНі
60%+27%ТакНі
$22 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI33%ТакНі
$731 Обсяг 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Обсяг 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%ТакНі
$3.00-$3.2526%ТакНі
$2,1 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot26%ТакНі
$1,2 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot24%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%ТакНі
45%+89%ТакНі
$566 Обсяг 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%ТакНі
$ANT9%ТакНі
$77,4 тис. Обсяг 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%ТакНі
Z.aiZ.ai29%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%ТакНі
1490+28%ТакНі
$59,5 тис. Обсяг
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%ТакНі
Z.aiZ.ai30%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 тис. Обсяг 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI10%ТакНі
$2,5 тис. Обсяг 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%ТакНі
AnthropicAnthropic33%ТакНі
$552 Обсяг 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%ТакНі
AlibabaAlibaba33%ТакНі
$5,5 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI23%ТакНі
$680 Обсяг 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%ТакНі
ByteDanceByteDance7%ТакНі
$1,6 тис. Обсяг 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%ТакНі
GoogleGoogle30%ТакНі
$3,4 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%ТакНі
1505+54%ТакНі
$431 Обсяг 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%ТакНі
OpenAIOpenAI14%ТакНі
$3,5 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot10%ТакНі
$6,3 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%ТакНі
MoonshotMoonshot9%ТакНі
$1,2 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%ТакНі
MetaMeta15%ТакНі
$1,9 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%ТакНі
GoogleGoogle5%ТакНі
$757 Обсяг 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%ТакНі
$2.75-$3.0019%ТакНі
$2,1 тис. Обсяг 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%ТакНі
AnthropicAnthropic3%ТакНі
$2,5 тис. Обсяг 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%ТакНі
San Diego, CA93%ТакНі
$385 Обсяг 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%ТакНі
$6.00-$6.5025%ТакНі
$4,5 тис. Обсяг 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%ТакНі
GoogleGoogle41%ТакНі
$3,7 тис. Обсяг 31/08
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