🤖 Mercados de Predicción: IA

100 mercados activos

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SíNo
$178,1 mil Vol 7 días restantes
¿La valoración de Anthropic alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?¿La valoración de Anthropic alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?
↑$1.25T98%SíNo
↑$1.5T94%SíNo
$65,1 mil Vol 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%SíNo
September 202614%SíNo
$73,7 mil Vol 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SíNo
October 3158%SíNo
$260,9 mil Vol 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SíNo
$21,7 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%SíNo
September 3081%SíNo
$15,6 mil Vol 01/10
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de AnthropicCapitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Anthropic
$1.75–$2.0T19%SíNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%SíNo
$19,8 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai28%SíNo
$23,6 mil Vol 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SíNo
CATLCATL19%SíNo
$186,9 mil Vol 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max3%SíNo
$18,5 mil Vol Termina hoy
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SíNo
$178,1 mil Vol 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SíNo
November 30, 202660%SíNo
$1,6 M Vol 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SíNo
October 3182%SíNo
$7,7 mil Vol 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SíNo
12-1545%SíNo
$7,6 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot30%SíNo
$23,6 mil Vol 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%SíNo
September 21–September 276%SíNo
$12,8 mil Vol 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 mil Vol 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SíNo
xAIxAI12%SíNo
$178,1 mil Vol 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max45%SíNo
$18,5 mil Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot43%SíNo
$6,3 mil Vol 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%SíNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%SíNo
$6,3 mil Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SíNo
September 3078%SíNo
$325,1 mil Vol 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%SíNo
September 3039%SíNo
$48,3 mil Vol 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot14%SíNo
$21,7 mil Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba11%SíNo
$5,5 mil Vol 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SíNo
5-78%SíNo
$4,3 mil Vol 31/08
Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Anthropic (tramos medios)Capitalización de cierre de la salida a bolsa de Anthropic (tramos medios)
1.8T+77%SíNo
1.5–1.8T14%SíNo
$19,8 mil Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%SíNo
$1.75–$2.00T33%SíNo
$14,6 mil Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI6%SíNo
$178,1 mil Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318,9 mil Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%SíNo
August 272%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%SíNo
55%+48%SíNo
$45,6 mil Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SíNo
September 305%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI35%SíNo
$3,5 mil Vol 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%SíNo
MetaMeta23%SíNo
$3,4 mil Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$187 mil Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 mil Vol 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SíNo
55%+45%SíNo
$43,7 mil Vol 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SíNo
50%+56%SíNo
$40,2 mil Vol 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SíNo
claude-opus-5-max33%SíNo
$18,5 mil Vol 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%SíNo
GoogleGoogle17%SíNo
$3,7 mil Vol 31/10
¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?¿Qué empresas serán adquiridas antes de 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SíNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SíNo
$18,2 M Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI20%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SíNo
$6,2 mil Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SíNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SíNo
$1,7 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SíNo
$5.00-$5.5021%SíNo
$3 mil Vol 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba9%SíNo
$2,5 mil Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%SíNo
40%+78%SíNo
$41,1 mil Vol 31/12
¿La valoración de Perplexity alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?¿La valoración de Perplexity alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?
↑$25B62%SíNo
↑$22.5B60%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba20%SíNo
$3,7 mil Vol 30/09
¿La valoración de OpenAI alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?¿La valoración de OpenAI alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?
↑$900B90%SíNo
↑$1.0T70%SíNo
$1,4 mil Vol 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SíNo
MetaMeta10%SíNo
$1,9 mil Vol 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SíNo
50%+61%SíNo
$20,1 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SíNo
$23,6 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SíNo
$6.00-$6.5026%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%SíNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SíNo
$3 mil Vol 31/10
¿IPO de OpenAI antes de ___?¿IPO de OpenAI antes de ___?
December 31, 202616%SíNo
September 30, 20261%SíNo
$2,9 M Vol 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%SíNo
September 1585%SíNo
$2,4 mil Vol 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,2 mil Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SíNo
$0.50-$0.5530%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%SíNo
ByteDanceByteDance5%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SíNo
$3.00+24%SíNo
$2,1 mil Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%SíNo
$0.45-$0.5032%SíNo
$2,2 mil Vol 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%SíNo
September 3038%SíNo
$1,1 M Vol 01/11
¿La valoración de Databricks alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?¿La valoración de Databricks alcanzará __ antes del 31 de diciembre?
↑$200B87%SíNo
↑$225B78%SíNo
$1,4 mil Vol 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI4%SíNo
$799 Vol 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SíNo
MetaMeta1%SíNo
$6,3 mil Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SíNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%SíNo
1490+71%SíNo
$109,9 mil Vol
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%SíNo
60%+27%SíNo
$22 mil Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI33%SíNo
$731 Vol 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SíNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SíNo
$2,1 mil Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot26%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot24%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%SíNo
45%+89%SíNo
$566 Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SíNo
$ANT9%SíNo
$77,4 mil Vol 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SíNo
1490+28%SíNo
$59,5 mil Vol
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai30%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 mil Vol 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI10%SíNo
$2,5 mil Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SíNo
AnthropicAnthropic33%SíNo
$552 Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SíNo
AlibabaAlibaba33%SíNo
$5,5 mil Vol 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI23%SíNo
$680 Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%SíNo
ByteDanceByteDance7%SíNo
$1,6 mil Vol 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%SíNo
GoogleGoogle30%SíNo
$3,4 mil Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%SíNo
1505+54%SíNo
$431 Vol 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%SíNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SíNo
$3,5 mil Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot10%SíNo
$6,3 mil Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot9%SíNo
$1,2 mil Vol 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%SíNo
MetaMeta15%SíNo
$1,9 mil Vol 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%SíNo
GoogleGoogle5%SíNo
$757 Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SíNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SíNo
$2,1 mil Vol 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%SíNo
AnthropicAnthropic3%SíNo
$2,5 mil Vol 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%SíNo
San Diego, CA93%SíNo
$385 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%SíNo
$6.00-$6.5025%SíNo
$4,5 mil Vol 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%SíNo
GoogleGoogle41%SíNo
$3,7 mil Vol 31/08
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