🤖 Mercati di previsione: IA

100 mercati attivi

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$178.099 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
La valutazione di Anthropic raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?La valutazione di Anthropic raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?
↑$1.25T98%SìNo
↑$1.5T94%SìNo
$65.107 Volume 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%SìNo
September 202614%SìNo
$73.658 Volume 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SìNo
October 3158%SìNo
$260.877 Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SìNo
$21.669 Volume 7 giorni rimanenti
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%SìNo
September 3081%SìNo
$15.607 Volume 01/10
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di AnthropicCapitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Anthropic
$1.75–$2.0T19%SìNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%SìNo
$19.770 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai28%SìNo
$23.617 Volume 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SìNo
CATLCATL19%SìNo
$186.940 Volume 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max3%SìNo
$18.481 Volume Termina oggi
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI5%SìNo
$178.099 Volume 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SìNo
November 30, 202660%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SìNo
October 3182%SìNo
$7.738 Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SìNo
12-1545%SìNo
$7.616 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot30%SìNo
$23.617 Volume 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%SìNo
September 21–September 276%SìNo
$12.787 Volume 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41.853 Volume 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SìNo
xAIxAI12%SìNo
$178.099 Volume 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max45%SìNo
$18.481 Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot43%SìNo
$6.308 Volume 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%SìNo
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%SìNo
$6.337 Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SìNo
September 3078%SìNo
$325.095 Volume 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%SìNo
September 3039%SìNo
$48.290 Volume 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot14%SìNo
$21.669 Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba11%SìNo
$5.495 Volume 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SìNo
5-78%SìNo
$4.348 Volume 31/08
Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Anthropic (fasce medie)Capitalizzazione di chiusura dell'IPO di Anthropic (fasce medie)
1.8T+77%SìNo
1.5–1.8T14%SìNo
$19.770 Volume 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%SìNo
$1.75–$2.00T33%SìNo
$14.622 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI6%SìNo
$178.099 Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318.901 Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%SìNo
August 272%SìNo
$6.209 Volume 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%SìNo
55%+48%SìNo
$45.614 Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SìNo
September 305%SìNo
$6.209 Volume 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI35%SìNo
$3.527 Volume 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%SìNo
MetaMeta23%SìNo
$3.358 Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
probabilità
Sì No
$187.019 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SìNo
$6.211 Volume 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127.824 Volume 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SìNo
55%+45%SìNo
$43.698 Volume 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SìNo
50%+56%SìNo
$40.238 Volume 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SìNo
claude-opus-5-max33%SìNo
$18.481 Volume 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0020%SìNo
$4.468 Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%SìNo
GoogleGoogle17%SìNo
$3.697 Volume 31/10
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SìNo
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SìNo
$18,2 Mln Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI20%SìNo
$6.211 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI2%SìNo
$6.211 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SìNo
$0.75-$1.0024%SìNo
$1.713 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SìNo
$5.00-$5.5021%SìNo
$2.976 Volume 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba9%SìNo
$2.522 Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%SìNo
40%+78%SìNo
$41.109 Volume 31/12
La valutazione di Perplexity raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?La valutazione di Perplexity raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?
↑$25B62%SìNo
↑$22.5B60%SìNo
$1.641 Volume 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba20%SìNo
$3.697 Volume 30/09
La valutazione di OpenAI raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?La valutazione di OpenAI raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?
↑$900B90%SìNo
↑$1.0T70%SìNo
$1.434 Volume 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SìNo
MetaMeta10%SìNo
$1.906 Volume 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SìNo
50%+61%SìNo
$20.092 Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SìNo
$23.617 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5026%SìNo
$4.468 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%SìNo
$4.00-$4.5027%SìNo
$2.976 Volume 31/10
IPO di OpenAI entro ___?IPO di OpenAI entro ___?
December 31, 202616%SìNo
September 30, 20261%SìNo
$2,9 Mln Volume 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%SìNo
September 1585%SìNo
$2.439 Volume 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1.232 Volume 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SìNo
$0.50-$0.5530%SìNo
$2.224 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%SìNo
ByteDanceByteDance5%SìNo
$1.626 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SìNo
$3.00+24%SìNo
$2.124 Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%SìNo
$0.45-$0.5032%SìNo
$2.224 Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%SìNo
September 3038%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 01/11
La valutazione di Databricks raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?La valutazione di Databricks raggiungerà __ entro il 31 dicembre?
↑$200B87%SìNo
↑$225B78%SìNo
$1.374 Volume 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI4%SìNo
$799 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SìNo
MetaMeta1%SìNo
$6.337 Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SìNo
$5.50-$6.0022%SìNo
$4.468 Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%SìNo
1490+71%SìNo
$109.927 Volume
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%SìNo
60%+27%SìNo
$21.971 Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI33%SìNo
$731 Volume 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Volume 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SìNo
$3.00-$3.2526%SìNo
$2.124 Volume 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot26%SìNo
$1.199 Volume 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot24%SìNo
$1.638 Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%SìNo
45%+89%SìNo
$566 Volume 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SìNo
$ANT9%SìNo
$77.428 Volume 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SìNo
$1.638 Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SìNo
1490+28%SìNo
$59.527 Volume
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%SìNo
Z.aiZ.ai30%SìNo
$1.638 Volume 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3.528 Volume 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI10%SìNo
$2.522 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic33%SìNo
$552 Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SìNo
AlibabaAlibaba33%SìNo
$5.495 Volume 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI23%SìNo
$680 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%SìNo
ByteDanceByteDance7%SìNo
$1.626 Volume 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%SìNo
GoogleGoogle30%SìNo
$3.358 Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%SìNo
1505+54%SìNo
$431 Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%SìNo
OpenAIOpenAI14%SìNo
$3.527 Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot10%SìNo
$6.308 Volume 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%SìNo
MoonshotMoonshot9%SìNo
$1.199 Volume 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%SìNo
MetaMeta15%SìNo
$1.906 Volume 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%SìNo
GoogleGoogle5%SìNo
$757 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SìNo
$2.75-$3.0019%SìNo
$2.124 Volume 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%SìNo
AnthropicAnthropic3%SìNo
$2.522 Volume 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%SìNo
San Diego, CA93%SìNo
$385 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%SìNo
$6.00-$6.5025%SìNo
$4.468 Volume 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%SìNo
GoogleGoogle41%SìNo
$3.697 Volume 31/08
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