🤖 Mercados de Previsão: IA

100 mercados ativos

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI2%SimNão
$178,1 mil Volume 7 dias restantes
A avaliação da Anthropic atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?A avaliação da Anthropic atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?
↑$1.25T98%SimNão
↑$1.5T94%SimNão
$65,1 mil Volume 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%SimNão
September 202614%SimNão
$73,7 mil Volume 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%SimNão
October 3158%SimNão
$260,9 mil Volume 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%SimNão
Z.aiZ.ai4%SimNão
$21,7 mil Volume 7 dias restantes
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%SimNão
September 3081%SimNão
$15,6 mil Volume 01/10
Capitalização de fechamento do IPO da AnthropicCapitalização de fechamento do IPO da Anthropic
$1.75–$2.0T19%SimNão
$2.0–$2.25T17%SimNão
$19,8 mil Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%SimNão
Z.aiZ.ai28%SimNão
$23,6 mil Volume 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SimNão
CATLCATL19%SimNão
$186,9 mil Volume 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%SimNão
claude-opus-5-max3%SimNão
$18,5 mil Volume Encerra hoje
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI5%SimNão
$178,1 mil Volume 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%SimNão
November 30, 202660%SimNão
$1,6 mi Volume 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%SimNão
October 3182%SimNão
$7,7 mil Volume 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%SimNão
12-1545%SimNão
$7,6 mil Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot30%SimNão
$23,6 mil Volume 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%SimNão
September 21–September 276%SimNão
$12,8 mil Volume 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 mil Volume 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%SimNão
xAIxAI12%SimNão
$178,1 mil Volume 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%SimNão
claude-opus-5-max45%SimNão
$18,5 mil Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot43%SimNão
$6,3 mil Volume 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%SimNão
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%SimNão
$6,3 mil Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%SimNão
September 3078%SimNão
$325,1 mil Volume 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%SimNão
September 3039%SimNão
$48,3 mil Volume 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot14%SimNão
$21,7 mil Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%SimNão
AlibabaAlibaba11%SimNão
$5,5 mil Volume 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%SimNão
5-78%SimNão
$4,3 mil Volume 31/08
Capitalização de fechamento do IPO da Anthropic (faixas médias)Capitalização de fechamento do IPO da Anthropic (faixas médias)
1.8T+77%SimNão
1.5–1.8T14%SimNão
$19,8 mil Volume 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%SimNão
$1.75–$2.00T33%SimNão
$14,6 mil Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI6%SimNão
$178,1 mil Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318,9 mil Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%SimNão
August 272%SimNão
$6,2 mil Volume 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%SimNão
55%+48%SimNão
$45,6 mil Volume 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%SimNão
September 305%SimNão
$6,2 mil Volume 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI35%SimNão
$3,5 mil Volume 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%SimNão
MetaMeta23%SimNão
$3,4 mil Volume 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
chance
Sim Não
$187 mil Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI14%SimNão
$6,2 mil Volume 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 mil Volume 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%SimNão
55%+45%SimNão
$43,7 mil Volume 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%SimNão
50%+56%SimNão
$40,2 mil Volume 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%SimNão
claude-opus-5-max33%SimNão
$18,5 mil Volume 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%SimNão
$5.50-$6.0020%SimNão
$4,5 mil Volume 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%SimNão
GoogleGoogle17%SimNão
$3,7 mil Volume 31/10
Quais empresas serão adquiridas antes de 2027?Quais empresas serão adquiridas antes de 2027?
PayPalPayPal46%SimNão
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%SimNão
$18,2 mi Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI20%SimNão
$6,2 mil Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI2%SimNão
$6,2 mil Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%SimNão
$0.75-$1.0024%SimNão
$1,7 mil Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%SimNão
$5.00-$5.5021%SimNão
$3 mil Volume 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%SimNão
AlibabaAlibaba9%SimNão
$2,5 mil Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%SimNão
40%+78%SimNão
$41,1 mil Volume 31/12
A avaliação da Perplexity atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?A avaliação da Perplexity atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?
↑$25B62%SimNão
↑$22.5B60%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%SimNão
AlibabaAlibaba20%SimNão
$3,7 mil Volume 30/09
A avaliação da OpenAI atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?A avaliação da OpenAI atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?
↑$900B90%SimNão
↑$1.0T70%SimNão
$1,4 mil Volume 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%SimNão
MetaMeta10%SimNão
$1,9 mil Volume 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%SimNão
50%+61%SimNão
$20,1 mil Volume 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot28%SimNão
$23,6 mil Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%SimNão
$6.00-$6.5026%SimNão
$4,5 mil Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%SimNão
$4.00-$4.5027%SimNão
$3 mil Volume 31/10
IPO da OpenAI até ___?IPO da OpenAI até ___?
December 31, 202616%SimNão
September 30, 20261%SimNão
$2,9 mi Volume 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%SimNão
September 1585%SimNão
$2,4 mil Volume 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,2 mil Volume 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%SimNão
$0.50-$0.5530%SimNão
$2,2 mil Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%SimNão
ByteDanceByteDance5%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%SimNão
$3.00+24%SimNão
$2,1 mil Volume 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%SimNão
$0.45-$0.5032%SimNão
$2,2 mil Volume 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%SimNão
September 3038%SimNão
$1,1 mi Volume 01/11
A avaliação da Databricks atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?A avaliação da Databricks atingirá __ até 31 de dezembro?
↑$200B87%SimNão
↑$225B78%SimNão
$1,4 mil Volume 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI4%SimNão
$799 Volume 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%SimNão
MetaMeta1%SimNão
$6,3 mil Volume 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%SimNão
$5.50-$6.0022%SimNão
$4,5 mil Volume 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%SimNão
1490+71%SimNão
$109,9 mil Volume
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%SimNão
60%+27%SimNão
$22 mil Volume 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI33%SimNão
$731 Volume 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Volume 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%SimNão
$3.00-$3.2526%SimNão
$2,1 mil Volume 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot26%SimNão
$1,2 mil Volume 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot24%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%SimNão
45%+89%SimNão
$566 Volume 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%SimNão
$ANT9%SimNão
$77,4 mil Volume 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%SimNão
Z.aiZ.ai29%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%SimNão
1490+28%SimNão
$59,5 mil Volume
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%SimNão
Z.aiZ.ai30%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 mil Volume 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI10%SimNão
$2,5 mil Volume 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%SimNão
AnthropicAnthropic33%SimNão
$552 Volume 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%SimNão
AlibabaAlibaba33%SimNão
$5,5 mil Volume 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI23%SimNão
$680 Volume 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%SimNão
ByteDanceByteDance7%SimNão
$1,6 mil Volume 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%SimNão
GoogleGoogle30%SimNão
$3,4 mil Volume 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%SimNão
1505+54%SimNão
$431 Volume 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%SimNão
OpenAIOpenAI14%SimNão
$3,5 mil Volume 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot10%SimNão
$6,3 mil Volume 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%SimNão
MoonshotMoonshot9%SimNão
$1,2 mil Volume 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%SimNão
MetaMeta15%SimNão
$1,9 mil Volume 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%SimNão
GoogleGoogle5%SimNão
$757 Volume 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%SimNão
$2.75-$3.0019%SimNão
$2,1 mil Volume 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%SimNão
AnthropicAnthropic3%SimNão
$2,5 mil Volume 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%SimNão
San Diego, CA93%SimNão
$385 Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%SimNão
$6.00-$6.5025%SimNão
$4,5 mil Volume 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%SimNão
GoogleGoogle41%SimNão
$3,7 mil Volume 31/08
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