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AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI2%JaNein
$178,1 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
Erreicht die Bewertung von Anthropic bis 31 Dezember __?Erreicht die Bewertung von Anthropic bis 31 Dezember __?
↑$1.25T98%JaNein
↑$1.5T94%JaNein
$65,1 Tsd. Vol 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%JaNein
September 202614%JaNein
$73,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%JaNein
October 3158%JaNein
$260,9 Tsd. Vol 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%JaNein
Z.aiZ.ai4%JaNein
$21,7 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%JaNein
September 3081%JaNein
$15,6 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Anthropic-BörsengangsSchluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Anthropic-Börsengangs
$1.75–$2.0T19%JaNein
$2.0–$2.25T17%JaNein
$19,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%JaNein
Z.aiZ.ai28%JaNein
$23,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNein
CATLCATL19%JaNein
$186,9 Tsd. Vol 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%JaNein
claude-opus-5-max3%JaNein
$18,5 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI5%JaNein
$178,1 Tsd. Vol 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%JaNein
November 30, 202660%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%JaNein
October 3182%JaNein
$7,7 Tsd. Vol 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%JaNein
12-1545%JaNein
$7,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot30%JaNein
$23,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%JaNein
September 21–September 276%JaNein
$12,8 Tsd. Vol 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%JaNein
xAIxAI12%JaNein
$178,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%JaNein
claude-opus-5-max45%JaNein
$18,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot43%JaNein
$6,3 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%JaNein
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%JaNein
$6,3 Tsd. Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%JaNein
September 3078%JaNein
$325,1 Tsd. Vol 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%JaNein
September 3039%JaNein
$48,3 Tsd. Vol 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot14%JaNein
$21,7 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%JaNein
AlibabaAlibaba11%JaNein
$5,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%JaNein
5-78%JaNein
$4,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Anthropic-Börsengangs (mittlere Spannen)Schluss-Marktkapitalisierung des Anthropic-Börsengangs (mittlere Spannen)
1.8T+77%JaNein
1.5–1.8T14%JaNein
$19,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%JaNein
$1.75–$2.00T33%JaNein
$14,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI6%JaNein
$178,1 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%JaNein
August 272%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%JaNein
55%+48%JaNein
$45,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%JaNein
September 305%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI35%JaNein
$3,5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%JaNein
MetaMeta23%JaNein
$3,4 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
Chance
Ja Nein
$187 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI14%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%JaNein
55%+45%JaNein
$43,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%JaNein
50%+56%JaNein
$40,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%JaNein
claude-opus-5-max33%JaNein
$18,5 Tsd. Vol 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%JaNein
$5.50-$6.0020%JaNein
$4,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%JaNein
GoogleGoogle17%JaNein
$3,7 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Welche Unternehmen werden vor 2027 übernommen?Welche Unternehmen werden vor 2027 übernommen?
PayPalPayPal46%JaNein
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%JaNein
$18,2 Mio. Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI20%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI2%JaNein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%JaNein
$0.75-$1.0024%JaNein
$1,7 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%JaNein
$5.00-$5.5021%JaNein
$3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%JaNein
AlibabaAlibaba9%JaNein
$2,5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%JaNein
40%+78%JaNein
$41,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Erreicht die Bewertung von Perplexity bis 31 Dezember __?Erreicht die Bewertung von Perplexity bis 31 Dezember __?
↑$25B62%JaNein
↑$22.5B60%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%JaNein
AlibabaAlibaba20%JaNein
$3,7 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Erreicht die Bewertung von OpenAI bis 31 Dezember __?Erreicht die Bewertung von OpenAI bis 31 Dezember __?
↑$900B90%JaNein
↑$1.0T70%JaNein
$1,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%JaNein
MetaMeta10%JaNein
$1,9 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%JaNein
50%+61%JaNein
$20,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot28%JaNein
$23,6 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%JaNein
$6.00-$6.5026%JaNein
$4,5 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%JaNein
$4.00-$4.5027%JaNein
$3 Tsd. Vol 31/10
OpenAI-IPO bis ___?OpenAI-IPO bis ___?
December 31, 202616%JaNein
September 30, 20261%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%JaNein
September 1585%JaNein
$2,4 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%JaNein
$0.50-$0.5530%JaNein
$2,2 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%JaNein
ByteDanceByteDance5%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%JaNein
$3.00+24%JaNein
$2,1 Tsd. Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%JaNein
$0.45-$0.5032%JaNein
$2,2 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%JaNein
September 3038%JaNein
$1,1 Mio. Vol 01/11
Erreicht die Bewertung von Databricks bis 31 Dezember __?Erreicht die Bewertung von Databricks bis 31 Dezember __?
↑$200B87%JaNein
↑$225B78%JaNein
$1,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI4%JaNein
$799 Vol 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%JaNein
MetaMeta1%JaNein
$6,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%JaNein
$5.50-$6.0022%JaNein
$4,5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%JaNein
1490+71%JaNein
$109,9 Tsd. Vol
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%JaNein
60%+27%JaNein
$22 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI33%JaNein
$731 Vol 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%JaNein
$3.00-$3.2526%JaNein
$2,1 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot26%JaNein
$1,2 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot24%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%JaNein
45%+89%JaNein
$566 Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%JaNein
$ANT9%JaNein
$77,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%JaNein
Z.aiZ.ai29%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%JaNein
1490+28%JaNein
$59,5 Tsd. Vol
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%JaNein
Z.aiZ.ai30%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI10%JaNein
$2,5 Tsd. Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%JaNein
AnthropicAnthropic33%JaNein
$552 Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%JaNein
AlibabaAlibaba33%JaNein
$5,5 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI23%JaNein
$680 Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%JaNein
ByteDanceByteDance7%JaNein
$1,6 Tsd. Vol 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%JaNein
GoogleGoogle30%JaNein
$3,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%JaNein
1505+54%JaNein
$431 Vol 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%JaNein
OpenAIOpenAI14%JaNein
$3,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot10%JaNein
$6,3 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%JaNein
MoonshotMoonshot9%JaNein
$1,2 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%JaNein
MetaMeta15%JaNein
$1,9 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%JaNein
GoogleGoogle5%JaNein
$757 Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%JaNein
$2.75-$3.0019%JaNein
$2,1 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%JaNein
AnthropicAnthropic3%JaNein
$2,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%JaNein
San Diego, CA93%JaNein
$385 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%JaNein
$6.00-$6.5025%JaNein
$4,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%JaNein
GoogleGoogle41%JaNein
$3,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
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