🤖 Marchés de prédiction : IA

100 marchés actifs

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Which company has best AI model end of August?Which company has best AI model end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic98%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI2%OuiNon
$178,1 k Vol 7 jours restants
La valorisation de Anthropic atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?La valorisation de Anthropic atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?
↑$1.25T98%OuiNon
↑$1.5T94%OuiNon
$65,1 k Vol 01/01
In which month will Anthropic IPO?In which month will Anthropic IPO?
October 202676%OuiNon
September 202614%OuiNon
$73,7 k Vol 31/12
Gemini 4.0 released by...?Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3081%OuiNon
October 3158%OuiNon
$260,9 k Vol 01/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba94%OuiNon
Z.aiZ.ai4%OuiNon
$21,7 k Vol 7 jours restants
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 3183%OuiNon
September 3081%OuiNon
$15,6 k Vol 01/10
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de AnthropicCapitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Anthropic
$1.75–$2.0T19%OuiNon
$2.0–$2.25T17%OuiNon
$19,8 k Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot40%OuiNon
Z.aiZ.ai28%OuiNon
$23,6 k Vol 30/09
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%OuiNon
CATLCATL19%OuiNon
$186,9 k Vol 30/06
Best AI model on August 24?Best AI model on August 24?
claude-opus-5-high99%OuiNon
claude-opus-5-max3%OuiNon
$18,5 k Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Which company has the best AI model end of September?Which company has the best AI model end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic91%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI5%OuiNon
$178,1 k Vol 30/09
GPT-6 released by…?GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 202670%OuiNon
November 30, 202660%OuiNon
$1,6 M Vol 01/01
Next Claude Opus released by...?Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 3196%OuiNon
October 3182%OuiNon
$7,7 k Vol 01/01
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-1948%OuiNon
12-1545%OuiNon
$7,6 k Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai57%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot30%OuiNon
$23,6 k Vol 31/08
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 156%OuiNon
September 21–September 276%OuiNon
$12,8 k Vol 01/11
AI data center in space by...?AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
$41,9 k Vol 01/01
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
AnthropicAnthropic70%OuiNon
xAIxAI12%OuiNon
$178,1 k Vol 31/12
Best AI model on August 31?Best AI model on August 31?
claude-opus-5-high54%OuiNon
claude-opus-5-max45%OuiNon
$18,5 k Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI51%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot43%OuiNon
$6,3 k Vol 30/09
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
OpenAIOpenAI74%OuiNon
Microsoft AIMicrosoft AI9%OuiNon
$6,3 k Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 3189%OuiNon
September 3078%OuiNon
$325,1 k Vol 01/11
SSI public model released by…?SSI public model released by…?
October 3162%OuiNon
September 3039%OuiNon
$48,3 k Vol 01/11
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot14%OuiNon
$21,7 k Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot78%OuiNon
AlibabaAlibaba11%OuiNon
$5,5 k Vol 31/08
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
8-1084%OuiNon
5-78%OuiNon
$4,3 k Vol 31/08
Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Anthropic (tranches moyennes)Capitalisation de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de Anthropic (tranches moyennes)
1.8T+77%OuiNon
1.5–1.8T14%OuiNon
$19,8 k Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$2.00–$2.25T47%OuiNon
$1.75–$2.00T33%OuiNon
$14,6 k Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Which company has the best AI model end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic86%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI6%OuiNon
$178,1 k Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic94%
OpenAI6%
$318,9 k Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by August 3194%OuiNon
August 272%OuiNon
$6,2 k Vol 01/09
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+79%OuiNon
55%+48%OuiNon
$45,6 k Vol 31/12
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 3069%OuiNon
September 305%OuiNon
$6,2 k Vol 01/10
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot45%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI35%OuiNon
$3,5 k Vol 30/09
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
GoogleGoogle40%OuiNon
MetaMeta23%OuiNon
$3,4 k Vol 31/10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
83%
de chance
Oui Non
$187 k Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic84%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI14%OuiNon
$6,2 k Vol 30/09
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$127,8 k Vol 01/01
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
50%+71%OuiNon
55%+45%OuiNon
$43,7 k Vol 31/12
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+75%OuiNon
50%+56%OuiNon
$40,2 k Vol 31/12
Best AI model on September 7?Best AI model on September 7?
claude-opus-5-high51%OuiNon
claude-opus-5-max33%OuiNon
$18,5 k Vol 07/09
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
$6.00-$6.5023%OuiNon
$5.50-$6.0020%OuiNon
$4,5 k Vol 31/12
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta38%OuiNon
GoogleGoogle17%OuiNon
$3,7 k Vol 31/10
Quelles entreprises seront acquises avant 2027 ?Quelles entreprises seront acquises avant 2027 ?
PayPalPayPal46%OuiNon
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts34%OuiNon
$18,2 M Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
AnthropicAnthropic79%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI20%OuiNon
$6,2 k Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic97%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI2%OuiNon
$6,2 k Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
$1.00-$1.2561%OuiNon
$0.75-$1.0024%OuiNon
$1,7 k Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?GPU rental prices (H200) end of August?
$4.50-$5.0037%OuiNon
$5.00-$5.5021%OuiNon
$3 k Vol 31/08
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle84%OuiNon
AlibabaAlibaba9%OuiNon
$2,5 k Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+85%OuiNon
40%+78%OuiNon
$41,1 k Vol 31/12
La valorisation de Perplexity atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?La valorisation de Perplexity atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?
↑$25B62%OuiNon
↑$22.5B60%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 01/01
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta52%OuiNon
AlibabaAlibaba20%OuiNon
$3,7 k Vol 30/09
La valorisation de OpenAI atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?La valorisation de OpenAI atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?
↑$900B90%OuiNon
↑$1.0T70%OuiNon
$1,4 k Vol 01/01
Second-best AI Lab end of August?Second-best AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle83%OuiNon
MetaMeta10%OuiNon
$1,9 k Vol 31/08
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+94%OuiNon
50%+61%OuiNon
$20,1 k Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot28%OuiNon
$23,6 k Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+39%OuiNon
$6.00-$6.5026%OuiNon
$4,5 k Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.50-$5.0030%OuiNon
$4.00-$4.5027%OuiNon
$3 k Vol 31/10
IPO de OpenAI d'ici ___ ?IPO de OpenAI d'ici ___ ?
December 31, 202616%OuiNon
September 30, 20261%OuiNon
$2,9 M Vol 31/12
ChatGPT Outage by....?ChatGPT Outage by....?
September 3088%OuiNon
September 1585%OuiNon
$2,4 k Vol 01/09
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic95%
OpenAI5%
$1,2 k Vol 01/01
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
$0.45-$0.5035%OuiNon
$0.50-$0.5530%OuiNon
$2,2 k Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
GoogleGoogle83%OuiNon
ByteDanceByteDance5%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$2.75-$3.0025%OuiNon
$3.00+24%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 31/10
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of August?
$0.50-$0.5554%OuiNon
$0.45-$0.5032%OuiNon
$2,2 k Vol 31/08
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 3151%OuiNon
September 3038%OuiNon
$1,1 M Vol 01/11
La valorisation de Databricks atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?La valorisation de Databricks atteindra-t-elle __ d'ici le 31 décembre ?
↑$200B87%OuiNon
↑$225B78%OuiNon
$1,4 k Vol 01/01
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
AnthropicAnthropic94%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI4%OuiNon
$799 Vol 31/08
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI97%OuiNon
MetaMeta1%OuiNon
$6,3 k Vol 31/08
GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?
$6.50-$7.0037%OuiNon
$5.50-$6.0022%OuiNon
$4,5 k Vol 30/09
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+76%OuiNon
1490+71%OuiNon
$109,9 k Vol
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+54%OuiNon
60%+27%OuiNon
$22 k Vol 31/12
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
AnthropicAnthropic67%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI33%OuiNon
$731 Vol 30/09
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 3117%
September 3057%
$626 Vol 01/10
GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?
$2.75-$3.0039%OuiNon
$3.00-$3.2526%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba44%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot26%OuiNon
$1,2 k Vol 30/09
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai48%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot24%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
50%+92%OuiNon
45%+89%OuiNon
$566 Vol 31/12
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANTH41%OuiNon
$ANT9%OuiNon
$77,4 k Vol 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot32%OuiNon
Z.aiZ.ai29%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 31/10
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1480+74%OuiNon
1490+28%OuiNon
$59,5 k Vol
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot62%OuiNon
Z.aiZ.ai30%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 31/08
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 20268%
December 31, 20268%
$3,5 k Vol 01/01
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
GoogleGoogle74%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI10%OuiNon
$2,5 k Vol 31/10
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
OpenAIOpenAI67%OuiNon
AnthropicAnthropic33%OuiNon
$552 Vol 30/09
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot56%OuiNon
AlibabaAlibaba33%OuiNon
$5,5 k Vol 30/09
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba28%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI23%OuiNon
$680 Vol 31/10
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
GoogleGoogle68%OuiNon
ByteDanceByteDance7%OuiNon
$1,6 k Vol 31/10
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
MetaMeta34%OuiNon
GoogleGoogle30%OuiNon
$3,4 k Vol 30/09
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
1500+72%OuiNon
1505+54%OuiNon
$431 Vol 31/12
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot85%OuiNon
OpenAIOpenAI14%OuiNon
$3,5 k Vol 31/08
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
OpenAIOpenAI87%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot10%OuiNon
$6,3 k Vol 31/08
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba89%OuiNon
MoonshotMoonshot9%OuiNon
$1,2 k Vol 31/08
Second-best AI Lab end of September?Second-best AI Lab end of September?
GoogleGoogle59%OuiNon
MetaMeta15%OuiNon
$1,9 k Vol 30/09
Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic89%OuiNon
GoogleGoogle5%OuiNon
$757 Vol 30/09
GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?
$2.50-$2.7526%OuiNon
$2.75-$3.0019%OuiNon
$2,1 k Vol 30/09
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
GoogleGoogle95%OuiNon
AnthropicAnthropic3%OuiNon
$2,5 k Vol 31/08
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL95%OuiNon
San Diego, CA93%OuiNon
$385 Vol 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?
$6.50-$7.0038%OuiNon
$6.00-$6.5025%OuiNon
$4,5 k Vol 31/08
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
MoonshotMoonshot47%OuiNon
GoogleGoogle41%OuiNon
$3,7 k Vol 31/08
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