Brazil · Politics

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

$5K Volume
04/10/2026 06:00
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Rayssa Furlan
$3.6K Volume
89%
Alliny Serrão
$154 Volume
9%
Randolfe
$154 Volume
4%
Lucas Barreto
$154 Volume
5%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$154 Volume
6%
Capi
$269 Volume
1%
Helio Silva
$149 Volume
3%
Acácio Favacho
$154 Volume
3%
Juíza Jô
$240 Volume
2%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place?
At 89%, Rayssa Furlan has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders price Rayssa Furlan at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders have put $5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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