US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic

ATP
Luka Pavlovic474
Jacob Fearnley66⁴6
Final
Game context

Jacob Fearnley, the No. 4 seed and world No. 100, enters the US Open qualifying second round on outdoor hard courts after a straight-sets win over Roberto Carballes Baena, while Luka Pavlovic, ranked No. 203, advanced via a grueling three-set victory over Juan Pablo Varillas that featured 18 aces but 15 double faults and lasted over three hours. Fearnley holds the higher ranking and stronger recent hard-court results, including solid performances in ATP-level events earlier in the summer, whereas Pavlovic has climbed steadily from outside the top 300 and captured a Challenger title in Segovia. The matchup pits Fearnley’s experience and efficiency against Pavlovic’s powerful but inconsistent serve on a surface where the Briton has compiled a strong record below the main draw. A win advances either player one step closer to the main-draw field.

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Moneyline
$142K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Luka Pavlovic in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Luka Pavlovic.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Jacob Fearnley.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic market resolve?
Mark 2 Sep 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic?
Traders have put $16.7M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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