A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lula
$5.6K Volume
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$506 Volume
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
$476 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$476 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$476 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$476 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$476 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$476 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$338 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$476 Volume
1%
Samara
$348 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$476 Volume
1%
Zema
$396 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas?
Lula dominates the field at 95%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas?
With 95% implied for Lula, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas?
Traders have put $11K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva8%YesNo
Weverton Rocha32%YesNo
Fufuca22%YesNo
Renan Santos52%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado43%YesNo
Marina Silva34%YesNo
André do Prado25%YesNo
Eduardo Braga82%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto17%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNo
Simone Tebet23%YesNo
Manuela D'Ávila47%YesNo
Marcel Van Hattem18%YesNo
