A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Flavio Bolsonaro
$2.9K Volume
95%
Lula
$264 Volume
6%
Renan Santos
$267 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$446 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$446 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$446 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$447 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$349 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$480 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$395 Volume
1%
Samara
$458 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$370 Volume
1%
Zema
$446 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná?
Flavio Bolsonaro dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná?
Traders price Flavio Bolsonaro at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná?
$7.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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