This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
40
posts so far
· pace 40
<40
$145.8K Volume
1%
40-64
$65.6K Volume
96%
65-89
$119.8K Volume
4%
90-114
$115.5K Volume
1%
115-139
$92.7K Volume
1%
140-164
$35.1K Volume
1%
165-189
$31K Volume
1%
190-214
$14.5K Volume
1%
215-239
$8K Volume
1%
240+
$4.5K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
40-64 dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, 65-89, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
Traders price 40-64 at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 24 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $325.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 22 - August 24, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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