This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$705 Volume
1%
20-39
$754 Volume
1%
40-59
$754 Volume
1%
60-79
$1.3K Volume
1%
80-99
$54 Volume
1%
100-119
$312 Volume
1%
120-139
$168 Volume
4%
140-159
$199 Volume
8%
160-179
$47 Volume
11%
180-199
$56 Volume
14%
200-219
$167 Volume
16%
220-239
$133 Volume
16%
240-259
$262 Volume
13%
260-279
$106 Volume
10%
280-299
$72 Volume
7%
300-319
$279 Volume
5%
320-339
$309 Volume
3%
340-359
$485 Volume
3%
360-379
$421 Volume
2%
380-399
$129 Volume
1%
400-419
$35 Volume
1%
420-439
$34 Volume
1%
440-459
$34 Volume
1%
460-479
$54 Volume
1%
480-499
$54 Volume
1%
500+
$159 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
The field is wide open: 200-219 tops it at just 16%, with 220-239 close behind at 16%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 200-219 tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 4 Sep 2026 (10 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$1.1M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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