The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Renato Casagrande
$5.7K Volume
98%
Fabiano Contarato
$398 Volume
3%
Leonardo Monjardim
$580 Volume
1%
Rodney Miranda
$378 Volume
2%
Callegari
$367 Volume
1%
Evair de Melo
$382 Volume
1%
Maguinha Malta
$594 Volume
1%
Marcos do Val
$402 Volume
1%
Professor Fabian
$299 Volume
1%
Rose de Freitas
$359 Volume
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$402 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
Renato Casagrande dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
With 97% implied for Renato Casagrande, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place?
Total turnover stands at $9.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva8%YesNo
Weverton Rocha32%YesNo
Fufuca22%YesNo
Renan Santos52%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado43%YesNo
Marina Silva34%YesNo
André do Prado25%YesNo
Eduardo Braga82%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto17%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite52%YesNo
Simone Tebet28%YesNo
Manuela D'Ávila47%YesNo
Marcel Van Hattem18%YesNo
