The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Celina Leão
$7.2K Volume
74%
Arruda
$652 Volume
23%
Paula Belmonte
$176 Volume
6%
Elisson
$224 Volume
9%
Cappelli
$182 Volume
6%
Leandro Grass
$139 Volume
6%
Professor Robson
$176 Volume
5%
Kiko Caputo
$184 Volume
1%
Expedito Mendonça
$199 Volume
1%
Professora Samara Mineiro
$167 Volume
1%
Placeholder 1
50%
Placeholder 2
50%
Placeholder 3
50%
Placeholder 4
50%
Placeholder 5
50%
Placeholder 6
50%
Placeholder 7
50%
Placeholder 8
50%
Placeholder 9
50%
Placeholder 10
50%
Placeholder 11
50%
Placeholder 12
50%
Placeholder 13
50%
Placeholder 14
50%
Placeholder 15
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Federal District Governor Election Winner?
Celina Leão leads the field at 73%, with Placeholder 1 next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Federal District Governor Election Winner?
The market makes Celina Leão the favorite at 73%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Federal District Governor Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Federal District Governor Election Winner?
Traders have put $9.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Federal District Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro89%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva7%YesNo
Weverton Rocha32%YesNo
Fufuca21%YesNo
Benedita da Silva66%YesNo
Carlos Jordy15%YesNo
André do Prado32%YesNo
Marina Silva32%YesNo
Eduardo Braga82%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto16%YesNo
Guilherme Derrite51%YesNo
Simone Tebet26%YesNo
Manuela D'Ávila47%YesNo
Marcel Van Hattem19%YesNo
