AI · xAI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

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$3.9K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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August 31

$3.1K Volume

15%

October 31

$417 Volume

50%

December 31

$385 Volume

92%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.

Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.

An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.

An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: status.x.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Grok (Web) Outage by?

At 87%, December 31 has pulled far clear of October 31 (48%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Grok (Web) Outage by?

With 87% implied for December 31, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Grok (Web) Outage by market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Grok (Web) Outage by?

$3.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Grok (Web) Outage by on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.