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Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$66.9K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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55%+

$15.6K Volume

88%

60%+

$29.1K Volume

65%

65%+

$18.6K Volume

20%

70%+

$2.6K Volume

75%+

$1K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

At 88%, 55%+ has pulled far clear of 60%+ (64%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders price 55%+ at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders have put $66.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.