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Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$44.1K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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50%+

$18.6K Volume

72%

55%+

$6.9K Volume

47%

60%+

$9.2K Volume

23%

65%+

$5K Volume

15%

70%+

$4.3K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

The money is on 50%+ at 71%; 55%+ follows at 45%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

The market makes 50%+ the favorite at 71%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Total turnover stands at $44.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.