This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
45%+
$3.6K Volume
95%
50%+
$9.1K Volume
61%
55%+
$2.4K Volume
42%
60%+
$5.2K Volume
18%
65%+
$454 Volume
5%
Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
At 94%, 45%+ has pulled far clear of 50%+ (61%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
With 94% implied for 45%+, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$20.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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