AI · gpt

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$46.2K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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50%+

$7.9K Volume

75%

55%+

$18.1K Volume

59%

60%+

$15.1K Volume

28%

65%+

$2.9K Volume

10%

70%+

$2.1K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

The money is on 50%+ at 73%; 55%+ follows at 48%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders lean toward 50%+, pricing it at 73%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.

When does the Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Total turnover stands at $46.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.