This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$778 Volume
1%
25°C
$389 Volume
1%
26°C
$509 Volume
1%
27°C
$1K Volume
1%
28°C
$5.9K Volume
1%
29°C
$12.6K Volume
32%
30°C
$4.9K Volume
45%
31°C
$4.6K Volume
23%
32°C
$2.4K Volume
6%
33°C
$5K Volume
2%
34°C or higher
$1.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Even the leader is cheap - 30°C trades at 44%, 29°C at 31%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
No strong consensus yet: 30°C tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Total turnover stands at $127.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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