This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
25°C or below
$543 Volume
1%
26°C
$634 Volume
1%
27°C
$3.1K Volume
1%
28°C
$2.8K Volume
1%
29°C
$11K Volume
1%
30°C
$8.9K Volume
49%
31°C
$3.7K Volume
37%
32°C
$2.4K Volume
13%
33°C
$1.4K Volume
5%
34°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$518 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Even the leader is cheap - 30°C trades at 38%, 31°C at 35%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Right now the market's best guess is 30°C at 38% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Traders have put $64.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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