This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
16°C or below
$108 Volume
1%
17°C
$29 Volume
1%
18°C
$29 Volume
1%
19°C
$26 Volume
1%
20°C
$78 Volume
2%
21°C
$508 Volume
6%
22°C
$979 Volume
24%
23°C
$644 Volume
41%
24°C
$326 Volume
24%
25°C
$357 Volume
9%
26°C or higher
$159 Volume
3%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
The field is wide open: 23°C tops it at just 40%, with 22°C close behind at 24%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Right now the market's best guess is 23°C at 40% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Paris on August 28 market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
$135.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Paris on August 28 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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