This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
26°C or below
$355 Volume
1%
27°C
$557 Volume
1%
28°C
$753 Volume
1%
29°C
$8.1K Volume
1%
30°C
$5.8K Volume
1%
31°C
$10.8K Volume
1%
32°C
$7.5K Volume
93%
33°C
$5.2K Volume
5%
34°C
$4.2K Volume
2%
35°C
$1.5K Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$475 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
At 93%, 32°C has pulled far clear of 33°C (5%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Traders price 32°C at a 93% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27 market resolve?
The market runs until 27 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Traders have put $73.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 27 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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