This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
22°C or below
$204 Volume
1%
23°C
$2.6K Volume
1%
24°C
$1.6K Volume
1%
25°C
$3.8K Volume
6%
26°C
$6K Volume
97%
27°C
$6.6K Volume
1%
28°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
29°C
$272 Volume
1%
30°C
$269 Volume
1%
31°C
$171 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$420 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
26°C dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, 25°C, trades at just 5%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
With 96% implied for 26°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
$63.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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