This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
0
$555 Volume
1%
1
$10.9K Volume
78%
2
$2.6K Volume
23%
3
$1K Volume
5%
4
$568 Volume
1%
5+
$612 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many Israeli elections before government formed?
The money is on 1 at 76%; 2 follows at 22%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Traders lean toward 1, pricing it at 76%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the How many Israeli elections before government formed market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2027 (495 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Total turnover stands at $16.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade How many Israeli elections before government formed on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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