This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
8°C or below
$23 Volume
15%
9°C
$10 Volume
1%
10°C
$61 Volume
34%
11°C
$23 Volume
47%
12°C
$172 Volume
93%
13°C
$92 Volume
1%
14°C
$303 Volume
1%
15°C
$165 Volume
1%
16°C
$175 Volume
1%
17°C
$35 Volume
1%
18°C or higher
$1.4K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
12°C leads the field at 79%, with 11°C next at 25%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
The market makes 12°C the favorite at 79%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
$3.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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