This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
55°F or below
$411 Volume
1%
56-57°F
$156 Volume
1%
58-59°F
$507 Volume
2%
60-61°F
$434 Volume
3%
62-63°F
$134 Volume
8%
64-65°F
$154 Volume
38%
66-67°F
$66 Volume
34%
68-69°F
$1.1K Volume
30%
70-71°F
$468 Volume
11%
72-73°F
$273 Volume
3%
74°F or higher
$10 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Even the leader is cheap - 66-67°F trades at 30%, 68-69°F at 26%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
No strong consensus yet: 66-67°F tops the implied probabilities at just 30%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Total turnover stands at $11.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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