This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
87%
23°C
47%
24°C
40%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
50%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Even the leader is cheap - 22°C or below trades at 44%, 27°C at 30%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
No strong consensus yet: 22°C or below tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Aug 2026 (3 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Traders have put $14.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
31°C75%YesNo
32°C24%YesNo
34°C98%YesNo
35°C2%YesNo
30°C92%YesNo
31°C5%YesNo
24°C51%YesNo
25°C35%YesNo
29°C40%YesNo
28°C32%YesNo
20°C28%YesNo
19°C28%YesNo
31°C97%YesNo
32°C2%YesNo
17°C99%YesNo
14°C3%YesNo
