Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
<25%
$2.4K Volume
16%
25-28%
$2.2K Volume
24%
28-31%
$764 Volume
28%
31%+
$4.5K Volume
38%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
The field is wide open: 31%+ tops it at just 38%, with 28-31% close behind at 28%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
Right now the market's best guess is 31%+ at 38% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share market resolve?
The market runs until 20 Sep 2026 (27 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
Total turnover stands at $9.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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