This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Democratic Party
$3.7K Volume
68%
Republican Party
$1.9K Volume
34%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-10 House Election Winner?
Democratic Party leads the field at 67%, with Republican Party next at 33%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for MI-10 House Election Winner?
The market makes Democratic Party the favorite at 67%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the MI-10 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Nov 2026 (71 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MI-10 House Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $5.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MI-10 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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