This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Democratic Party
$33.2K Volume
87%
Republican Party
$5.6K Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NE-02 House Election Winner?
Democratic Party dominates the field at 86%; the nearest challenger, Republican Party, trades at just 13%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for NE-02 House Election Winner?
With 86% implied for Democratic Party, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the NE-02 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Nov 2026 (71 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on NE-02 House Election Winner?
$38.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade NE-02 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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