This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.3+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.3 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.3 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.1 or Muse Spark 1.2 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.3, such as Muse Spark 1.2 (including any open-weight re-release of it), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
August 31
$357 Volume
6%
September 15
54%
September 30
$3.2K Volume
52%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
It's a genuine race: September 30 edges the field at 52%, barely ahead of September 15 at 30%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
At 52% implied for September 30, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by market resolve?
Mark 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by?
Traders have put $38 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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