This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
On or prior to August 25
$5 Volume
19%
August 26
$26 Volume
27%
August 27
$26 Volume
67%
August 28
$26 Volume
25%
August 29
$495 Volume
13%
August 30
$495 Volume
9%
August 31
$26 Volume
64%
September 1
$26 Volume
27%
September 2
$116 Volume
40%
September 3
$116 Volume
28%
September 4
$116 Volume
16%
September 5
$216 Volume
32%
September 6
$216 Volume
54%
September 7
$116 Volume
18%
September 8
$116 Volume
25%
September 9
$116 Volume
66%
September 10
$116 Volume
20%
September 11
$26 Volume
23%
September 12
$116 Volume
12%
September 13
$116 Volume
34%
September 14
$116 Volume
42%
September 15
$116 Volume
35%
September 16
$116 Volume
35%
September 17
$116 Volume
28%
September 18
$116 Volume
33%
September 19
$116 Volume
37%
September 20
$116 Volume
32%
September 21
$116 Volume
28%
September 22
$116 Volume
35%
September 23
$116 Volume
13%
September 24
$116 Volume
46%
September 25
$116 Volume
49%
September 26
$116 Volume
25%
September 27
$116 Volume
50%
September 28
$116 Volume
37%
September 29
$116 Volume
64%
No release by September 30
$156 Volume
61%
September 30
$116 Volume
65%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
Even the leader is cheap - No release by September 30 trades at 44%, August 27 at 34%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
Right now the market's best guess is No release by September 30 at 44% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Next Mythos-Class Model released on market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026 (37 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
$4.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Mythos-Class Model released on on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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