A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
<25
$1K Volume
1%
25-29
$715 Volume
4%
30-34
$5.6K Volume
39%
35-39
$3.8K Volume
28%
40-44
$5.7K Volume
31%
45-49
$587 Volume
1%
50+
$485 Volume
9%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
The field is wide open: 30-34 tops it at just 39%, with 40-44 close behind at 29%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
No strong consensus yet: 30-34 tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the NZ Election: National Party # of seats market resolve?
Mark 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Traders have put $17.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade NZ Election: National Party # of seats on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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