This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'.
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance").
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
This market will remain open until all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve once all relevant days are finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
<3
$3K Volume
94%
3
$1.1K Volume
6%
4
$1.2K Volume
1%
5
$455 Volume
1%
6+
$1.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
At 94%, <3 has pulled far clear of 3 (5%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
Traders price <3 at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
$100 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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