This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 10%, while No trades at 91%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 10% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (127 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Total turnover stands at $98.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Z.ai99%YesNo
Meituan1%YesNo
Anthropic99%YesNo
OpenAI1%YesNo
↑$1.25T99%YesNo
↑$1.5T93%YesNo
October 3196%YesNo
September 3092%YesNo
Anthropic91%YesNo
Google5%YesNo
Anthropic70%YesNoGoogle10%YesNo
Alibaba94%YesNoZ.ai4%YesNo$2.0–$2.25T20%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T19%YesNo
