This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 2%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Prince Andrew sentenced to prison market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Total turnover stands at $221.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Prince Andrew sentenced to prison on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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